A Surge Of FHA Foreclosures Are About To Hit The Market

Posted by on April 14, 2012 | No Comments

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Last month I reviewed an interesting article on The Wall Street Journal website and I learned there is a heavy swell of FHA foreclosures about to hit the market. The article established that mortgage default rates were dropping for nearly all loan types with the lone exception being FHA types of financing. Those default rates had actually increased.

Why you may ask? Well, when the market crashed the government offered tax incentives for first time home buyers and countless potential new buyers engulfed the market. Many of those buyers were cash poor therefore most were forced to use Federal Housing Administration financing for the low down payment sales options. And, in most states, if a buyer used this financing there were programs for $100 down payments. Several states still offer this program while others have discontinued it. My mind started to rattle when I began to think about what actually has transpired over the past several years.

Here is my evaluation. During 2008-2010 the cash strapped buyers ran towards getting their piece of the American Dream: home ownership. Most of those buyers didn’t consider the probability that they may not have a gainful line of employment in 2 years. While most were poised and ready and could actually afford the 3.5 percent down what they didn’t take in to consideration was that the world economy was going to continue to decline. And, plenty of first time buyers that took advantage of the first time home buyer tax incentive are now in the unemployment line. They are defaulting at an explosive rate.

Additionally I understand that the government is going to elevate the down payment for FHA types of loans. This is really going to bruise our industry. Federal Housing Administration financing was put in place to give a lift to first time home buyers when purchasing a house by offering low down payments. Elevating the minimum down payment for these types of loans will put the home out of reach for many home buyers. It is truly a catastrophe in the making. While one person’s catastrophe is another man’s opportunity this will open many new sales options for real estate investors. Essentially, less competition in the market place will empower investors to rush in and pick up awesome deals on homes.

I’m really not sure how all of this is going to shake out in the near future but I can swear to you that we are in uncharted territory. My best guess is that troubling times are to come. If the consumers that purchased homes between 2008-2010 and used fha financing continue defaulting there is going to be a tidal wave of FHA foreclosures coming on the market. This will increase the inventory of HUD owned homes coming on the market place. I’m guessing HUD will slowly release these homes a little bit at a time as they will not be in any hurry to sell. IF they did rush it then it would crash the market. So, look for HUD sales to be the new gold standard of the future. No doubt about it!

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